Contingência histórica e o debate macroevolutivo generalismo especialismo

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2021-12-08

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Universidade Federal de Goiás

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Contingent events are unpredictable phenomena happening along lineages evolutionary history. These events have huge impact on evolution’s course because it leads to historical contingency. Historical contingency is the term used to say that the evolutionary history of lineages and their descendants changes after it experiences random and unpredictable events. Accordingly, the several contingent events happening along history together with historical contingency led to several but unique evolutionary histories. Therefore, if historical contingency prevents lineages to respond evenly to drivers, why macroecologists and macroevolutionists search for global patterns? Here I show that ignoring local effects in the relationship between drivers and lineages evolutionary dynamics (i.e., non-stationarity) leads to contradictions, wrong conclusions and loss of information. On the first chapter of this thesis I show, through a review, traditional and well accepted macroecological theories commited and even invalidated by non-stationarity. I argue that every macroecological e macroevolutionary theories exhibit local effects and must consider them previously in theories formulation or during analyses. On the second and third chapter I show that the generalism-specialism macroevolutionary conundrum standing for over 150 years emerged due to non-stationarity neglecting. Specifically, I show in the second chapter that both evolution towards generalism and specialism is possible, conversely to what have been claimed until now. The surprisingly non verified role of geographic regions on lineages diet evolution allows both increasing and decreasing of the dietary niche breadth, with tropical lineages mostly evolving towards generalism and temperate lineages mostly evolving towards specialism. This result not only explains why generalism still exists but also lead to the proposition of a new and original theory for the species richness latitudinal gradient. On the third chapter I showed that space does also changes the relationship between species diet and their diversification rates. Generalism is correlated to higher speciation rates only in the tropics, with descendants conserving their ancestral’s generalist dietary niche and consequent maintenance of higher speciation rates in this region. I also show that traitdependent diversification theories are commited by phylogenetic non-stationarity due to their historical contingency. I argue that the future of trait-dependent diversification theories lies on, theoretically or analytically, relaxing the assumption of stationarity.

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LEMES, L. P. Contingência histórica e o debate macroevolutivo generalismo especialismo. 2022. 94 f. Tese (Doutorado em Ecologia e Evolução) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2021.