Fenologia da vegetação e a sua relação com a água e o carbono em ambientes de cerrado no Brasil: influências do uso e cobertura da terra no passado, presente e futuro

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2015-02-02

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Universidade Federal de Goiás

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The Brazilian savanna (known as Cerrado) is an upland biome made up of various physiognomies, from herbaceous to arboreal. In this work, vegetation greenness (EVI), precipitation (PPT), and evapotranspiration (ET) data for the 2000 to 2012 period were analyzed in order to understand the phenology of the major Cerrado natural and anthropic landscapes, as well as its relation to precipitation, net primary productivity (NPP), biomass, and evapotranspiration fluxes, according to different land use scenarios. Along the 13 years under analysis, for all vegetation types the mean wet season duration varied from eight to nine months, while the growing season lasted seven to eight months. The mean start of the wet and growing seasons were very close for all land cover types during these 13 years, with the start of the wet season in August or September (with the exception of 2002 and 2007), and the start of the growing season in September or October. The mean end of the wet and growing seasons occurred in April or May and in May or June, respectively. The start, the end, and the duration of the wet and the growing seasons varied according to rainfall volume and distribution, which are affected by the El Niño and La Niña phenomena. For example, during El Niño years, the start of the wet season occurred earlier in August, and the duration of the wet season was longer than eight months. If followed by a La Niña, the start of the growing season of the vegetation occurred later in October and the duration of the season was shorter than eight months. In addition to the rainfall variability (El Niño and La Niña) and the type of vegetation (natural or anthropic grasslands), the start, the end, and the duration of the wet and growing seasons are also affected by the spatial variation (latitude and longitude). Considering the spatial variation of the start of the wet and growing seasons, the beginning was earlier in the southern portion of the Cerrado biome, in August-September and September-October, and later in the north, in November-December and October-December, respectively. The end of the season showed the same behavior, i.e. an earlier end (March-April) in the southern portion for the wet and growing seasons, while much later in the northern portion (June-July). Regarding the seasonal and phenological behavior of the different vegetation types, the green-up for all Cerrado physiognomies started in mid-September to the end of October, at the onset of the rainy season, reaching peak values from December through January, and a gradual senescence, starting as early as March or April. The total Cerrado growing season biomass for 2002 was 28 gigatons of carbon and the evapotranspiration was 1336 gigatons of water. A sample-based response associated with the area occupied by each vegetation type showed that pasture and cropland had 52% and 22% less NPP and ET than natural landscapes. The mean growing season evapotranspiration and biomass for 2002 was 576 Gt of water and 12 Gt of carbon for pasture and croplands compared to 760 Gt of water and 16 Gt of carbon for the Cerrado natural vegetation. Considering a modeled future scenario (year 2050), the ET flux from natural Cerrado vegetation was 394 Gt less than in 2002 and 991 Gt less than in a potential scenario, characterized with only natural vegetation, while the carbon was eight Gt less than in 2002 and 21 Gt less than in a pre-conversion Cerrado (potential scenario). In 2050, the sum of the pasture and cropland ET fluxes increased by 405 Gt, relative to 2002, and the carbon by 11 Gt. At last, the different land use scenarios showed that the deforestation impact until now in the fluxes of evapotranspiration and in the biomass were greater than the future scenario.

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ARANTES, A. E. Fenologia da vegetação e a sua relação com a água e o carbono em ambientes de cerrado no Brasil: influências do uso e cobertura da terra no passado, presente e futuro. 2015. 84 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Geografia) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2015.