Efetividade de hedge e razão ótima de hedge para cultura do milho no estado de Goiás

Resumo

This study has as objective analyzes the operations of hedge of the corn in the future market of BM&F for the State of Goiás and to define the optimal hedge ratio of this operation and its respective effectiveness. The used time series of future prices and spot prices are regarding the period of May from 2002 to October of 2006 was obtained from the Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics. Applying the unitary root test, it was inferred that both series are stationary in the first discrepancy (P=1). As result, was observed that the effectiveness of the operations of hedge of the corn for the State of Goiás reduces the risk in approximately 70%. That result determines the relevance of the use of the hedge operations in the future market of BM&F for the State of Goiás, and the use of the model (Myers and Thompson, 1989) applied in the study as parameter for the analysis of the hedge operations.

Descrição

Palavras-chave

Hedge, Mercado futuro, Milho, Hedge, Future market, Corn

Citação

OLIVEIRA NETO, Odilon José; FIGUEIREDO, Reginaldo Santana; MACHADO, André Grossi. Efetividade de hedge e razão ótima de hedge para cultura do milho no estado de Goiás. Revista Brasileira de Gestão e Desenvolvimento Regional, Taubaté, v. 5, p. 115-138, maio/ ago. 2009.