Determinantes macroecológicos em padrões de arboviroses e seus vetores
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2020-04-06
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Universidade Federal de Goiás
Resumo
One of the greatest challenges faced by humanity is the emergence and spread of infectious
diseases, which have harmed thousands of people throughout history. Although the
transmission of pathogens is still a challenge for scientists and decision-makers,
methodological tools are advancing in an attempt to predict its dynamics. Vector-borne
diseases demonstrate a complex underlying structure that involves ecological processes and
socioeconomic aspects. Although the temperature has been widely used to define
geographical limits of transmission, our expectations indicate that considering it alone may
not be a reliable alternative to predict the potential for disease transmission. Although the
global climate is decisive for the fundamental niche of vectors and pathogens, the
transmission of dengue is also driven by socioeconomic and microclimate aspects. The climatic
suitability in subtropical and temperate areas indicates the possible advance of dengue
transmission. Given the invasion of Aedes at high latitudes, the risk of introducing dengue in
these regions depends on favorable microclimatic and socioeconomic aspects, although the
expansion of these vectors towards the climate niche still available is a possibility.
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SIMON, L. M. Determinantes macroecológicos em padrões de arboviroses e seus vetores. 2020. 109 f. Tese (Doutorado em Ecologia e Evolução) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2020.