Determinantes do investimento em projetos de cana-de-açúcar em goiás (2007-2010)
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2011-08-15
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Universidade Federal de Goiás
Resumo
This thesis aims to look into what are the factors that fundamentally determine the variation in
investment projects in sugar cane in the state of Goyaz, in particular, between 2007 and 2010,
which is when they start to concentrate investment projects in the state on the screen. To
address this problem, five hypotheses have been proposed: the expansion of sugarcane in the
period can be explained more by productivity gains that the availability of farmland, the
second hypothesis states that the tax incentive may be influencing the attraction of
investments. The third hypothesis suggests that investment is driven by the sale of flex fuel
cars on the national level; the fourth proposes that investments can be supported by
independent Tax Credit and Technical Change, representing the diffusion of technology and
in anticipation of future demands. The latter inspires the possibility that economic growth
municipalities of the sugarcane have influenced the GDP of the state of Goyaz. To verify
these hypotheses, we adopted the methodology for quantitative tests, such as Linear
Regression, and indirect observation of the facts and indicators. However, a reference to study
the problem is not enough; therefore, it was chosen a theoretical system covering the
Keynesian Investment Theories, theories of innovation and technology diffusion, led by
Schumpeter and his followers. The general conclusions were that there seems no evidence
that the expansion of sugarcane is supported by productivity gains; it seems, however, that tax
incentives actually influence the attraction of investment; yet, the tests allow us to infer that it
appears that investments are being driven by domestic sales of hybrid cars. It also seems to
correspond to technological diffusion autonomous investment, as well as the evidence makes
it seem that economic growth of municipalities upholding sugarcane has influenced the state's
GDP. However, the survey revealed more: the historical process involving investments in
sugar cane shows that this has had vivid influence on the development of Goyaz since the
18th century; one can certainly conclude that the reed has contributed much to the
consolidation of agricultural vocation and state's economic growth since then.
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Citação
ZOPELARI, André Luiz Miranda Silva. Determinants of investment in projects of cane sugar goiás (2007-2010). 2011. 171 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Ciências Agrárias) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2011.