Trends in premature mortality due to chronic non-communicable diseases in Brazilian federal units
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Data
2015
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Resumo
Chronic non-communicable diseases
(NCDs) have a high mortality rate, mainly in
lower and middle income countries. The major
groups are cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic
respiratory disease (CRD), cancer and diabetes.
The Action Plan to reduce NCDs in Brazil,
2011-2022 established a 2% yearly reduction in
the NCD premature mortality rate as a goal. The
aim of the study was to analyze trends in premature
mortality rates and also show goal achievement
scenarios for each Federal Unit (FU). A
time series analysis of the standardized mortality
rate between2000-2011 was performed using the
linear regression model. The average annual rate
of increase and the 95% confidence interval were
estimated. Each FU was classified as being likely
or unlikely to achieve the goal. The FUs likely to
achieve the goal were: for CVD – Federal District,
Santa Catarina, Mato Grosso, Rio Grande do Sul,
Minas Gerais, Bahia, Espírito Santo and Paraná
states; for CRD – Amazonas, Federal District and
Paraná. For neoplasms and diabetes, none of the
FUs are likely to achieve the goal. The articulation
of the three levels of government will allow
the strengthening of interventions to reduce the
determinants of NCDs and to improve access and
quality in health care.
Descrição
Palavras-chave
Premature mortality, Chronic disease, Epidemiology
Citação
ALVES, Carla Guimarães; MORAIS NETO, Otaliba Libânio de. Trends in premature mortality due to chronic non-communicable diseases in Brazilian federal units. Ciência e Saúde Coletiva, Rio de Janeiro, v. 20, n. 3, p. 641-654, 2015.