Correction models of pneumonia mortality rates in the elderly in Brazil from 2005 to 2016

Miranda, Denismar Borges de; Policena, Gabriela Moreira; Minamisava, Ruth; Bierrenbach, Ana Luiza de Souza; Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti de; Morais Neto, Otaliba Libânio de

Correction models of pneumonia mortality rates in the elderly in Brazil from 2005 to 2016

Data

2020

Autores

Miranda, Denismar Borges de

Policena, Gabriela Moreira

Minamisava, Ruth

Bierrenbach, Ana Luiza de Souza

Andrade, Ana Lúcia Sampaio Sgambatti de

Morais Neto, Otaliba Libânio de

Resumo

Objective: To estimate the burden of pneumonia (PNM) mortality in the elderly in Brazil using different methodologies for rate correction. Method: A time-series study of mortality rates from PNM in the elderly from 2005- 2016. For the correction of the rates, two strategies were used: 1-correction by active search (CBA) and 2-correction by active search more redistribution (CBAR). In addition, a methodology for comparing corrected rates, calculated lower respiratory tract infection rates (ITRi) using estimates from the Global Burden Disease study. Trend was assessed using regression models. Result: From 2005 to 2016, 546,068 deaths were registered, which, after using the CBAR correction strategy, left 501,380, a reduction of 8.2%. There was an increasing trend of PNM mortality rates for all regions of Brazil and for the elderly population. The largest linear increase in mortality rate due to CBAR pneumonia was observed in the Northeast. Conclusion: These estimates of the magnitude and trend presented make it possible to analyze the behavior of mortality rates due to pneumonia in the elderly in Brazil and to subsidize the National Immunization Program on the need to include a specific pneumococcal vaccine for the entire elderly population.

Palavras-chave

Mortality registries, Mortality systems integration, Under registration, Pneumonia, Aged

Citação

MIRANDA, Denismar Borges de et al. Correction models of pneumonia mortality rates in the elderly in Brazil from 2005 to 2016. Biomedical Journal of Scientific & Technical Research, Westcheste, v. 29, n. 4, p. 22612-22623, 2020. DOI: 10.26717/BJSTR.2020.29.004830. Disponível em: https://biomedres.us/fulltexts/BJSTR.MS.ID.004830.php. Acesso em: 12 ago. 2024.