Efeito da pandemia de COVID-19 nos preços de aquisição de sacas de café

Abstract

The coffee is a significant product in Brazilian social and economic contexts. As a commodity, its price is sensitive to events that impact production or the market. The Covid-19 pandemic was an event that affected the global market; thus, managerial analyses related to prices during this period are relevant. This research aimed to examine the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on the price of coffee bags, considering blends of arabica and conilon species. This study has a quantitative and descriptive nature, considering the prices of arabica and conilon coffee bags over three two-year periods (with the pandemic period being the focus of the analyses and discussions). It is noted that the price of coffee bags increased over time, from the two years preceding the pandemic to the second year after it, across all observed blends. It is important to highlight that the pandemic period showed greater price volatility compared to the prior and subsequent time intervals observed. This research contributes by demonstrating that the pandemic period affected coffee prices both through an average increase and through heightened volatility. In this sense, it is observed that based on the conclusions obtained regarding prices, market decisions can be made through managerial analyses. However, the brief time frame and the fact that only the price variable was considered are pointed out as limitations of this research, which could be explored further in the future.