Programa nacional de produção e uso de biodiesel e as exportações do complexo agroindustrial da soja

Abstract

The National Program for the Production and Use of Biodiesel (PNPB) was created to encourage the use of renewable fuels and to promote the inclusion of Family farmers in the production of the feedstock used in its manufacture. However, it is worth to highlight the possibility of encouraging soybean industries to benefit the grain, which is a major source of feedstock used and thus commercialize the co-products of this process. The objective of this work was to determine the export supply model for soybean meal and for soybean oil in Brazil, highlighting the role of increased soybean biodiesel production in the variation of the export offer of co-products from processing. The econometric models were based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL). The results showed that for the soybean meal export, the significant variables in a long-run relationship was the soybean price, the quantity of biodiesel produced, the exchange rate, the Brazilian PIB and the world trade. For the soybean oil export, the only significant variables in a long-run relationship were the Brazilian PIB and the world trade. The quantity of biodiesel produced had a positive influence on the exports of the soybean agroindustrial complex, demonstrating that an increase in its production also leads to an increase in exports, implying that the government program is able to encourage the processing industry and thus obtain a better competitiveness of the industry and greater gains in exports.