Estudo ecológico das tendências de mortalidade em menores de 5 anos em Goiás, 2000–2018

Abstract

Objective: To identify the mortality rate in children under 5 years old and describe its evolution in the state of Goiás in regard to the component of age, sociodemographic variables, and preventability. Methodology: This is an ecological time series study using generalized linear regression via the Prais-Winsten method for trend analysis. Results: The correlation between mortality rates and the coverage of the Estratégia de Saúde da Família (Family Health Strategy) was verified by the Pearson correlation coefficient. The state of Goiás showed a decreasing trend in the mortality rate in children under 5 years old, with an annual percentage change of -1.6% (95%CI -1.8%– -0.9%) and a negative correlation with Family Health Strategy coverage (r=-0.193; p=0.023). Conclusion: The rates for preventability and subgroups of preventable causes were decreasing, except for deaths that can be prevented with adequate care for women during pregnancy. Deaths from preventable causes prevailed, suggesting the need for improvements in maternal and childcare.