O Processo decisório da anexação do Acre sob a ótica de uma análise de política externa

Abstract

This dissertation analyzes the decision-making process of annexation of Acre, defined in 1903 with the signing of the Treaty of Petrópolis, with reference to the models formulated by Graham Allison, in the book The Essence of Decision, to review the decision-making process in the case of missile crisis in Cuba in 1959. The decision negotiated by Brazil of acquiring Acre with the payment of indemnity to Bolivia and the Bolivian Syndicate, both involved in the issue, was considered under the rational actor model with an evaluation of the alternatives that the Braziliangovernment of the early republican period had at his disposal, concluding that, in the calculation of gains and losses, it was the most suited option to Brazil. Regarding the organizational process model, the behavior of the Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs was analyzed in disputes for territory, with the conclusion that the standard used to be adopt by the agency was reproduced in part in the case of Acre, in which only the use of the concept of uti possidetis, and not also an arbitration process, was present. Applying the government policy model, the participations of Olinto de Magalhães, Rui Barbosa and Barão do Rio Branco in the decisive phase of the case of Acre were evaluated, concluding that the position of the latter was the one that prevailed.