Escolha ocupacional e saída para o desemprego – uma análise de transição de 2002 a 2016
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2018-02-20
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Universidade Federal de Goiás
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The objective of this dissertation is to analyze the transition from employment to unemployment in the national labor market. Specifically, the study aims to understand what effect the quality a citizen’s current employment has on the probability of the employee losing their occupation in the future. The model is a Heckprobit, with the objective of understanding how the personal characteristics, socioeconomic, human capital and occupation characteristics can influence the probability of workers in the metropolitan areas of Recife, Belo Horizonte, Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo and Porto Alegre became unemployed. This econometric exercise is carried out by analysing the microdata of the Monthly Employment Survey (PME) from 2002 to 2016, with information from the Economically Active Population of persons aged 18 to 65 years. The results show that workers in more higher categories of employment are less likely to lose their jobs. Moreover, it is observed that the choice of occupational category tends to be more important for women than for men, that is, the effects of inadequate choices today negatively affect the probability of future employment.
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SANTOS, R. T. Escolha ocupacional e saída para o desemprego – uma análise de transição de 2002 a 2016. 2018. 46 f. Dissertação (Mestrado em Economia) - Universidade Federal de Goiás, Goiânia, 2018.